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Stanford study says 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets enable settlement manipulation

Cointelegraph·July 15, 2026·1 min read
Stanford study says 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets enable settlement manipulation

A Stanford study says 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets enable settlement manipulation. Researchers found Polymarket's five-minute Bitcoin prediction markets create incentives to manipulate spot prices around contract settlement. The study proposes longer settlement windows as a potential fix to prevent price manipulation.

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