Markets
A 97% Polymarket Price Tracks One US-Iran Ceasefire Test
CoinSpeaker·September 23, 2026·1 min read
Polymarket's US-Iran ceasefire odds hit 97% for September 25, but the contract measures a specific trigger, not a lasting peace deal. Traders are betting on a narrow diplomatic event, with the high probability reflecting market expectations for that date rather than broader geopolitical stability.
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