Macro Finance
Brazil Election: Lula Narrows Gap to Bolsonaro in PoderData Poll
Bloomberg Markets·October 13, 2026·1 min read
A PoderData/Aya poll shows Brazil's presidential runoff is a statistical tie: incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has 49% of valid votes versus 51% for Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, within the 1.8-point margin of error. The runoff is scheduled for October 25. The tight race underscores the polarized political climate ahead of the decisive vote.
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