Web3
Polymarket Puts U.S. Invasion of Iran Odds at 16.5% Under Narrow Contract Rules
TokenPost·October 15, 2026·1 min read
Polymarket puts U.S. invasion of Iran odds at 16.5% under narrow contract rules. A 'Yes' requires a U.S. offensive aimed at taking control of part of Iran by the end of 2026; a ceasefire breakdown alone does not qualify. This prediction market contract offers a specific geopolitical outcome.
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