Politics
The big unknown behind Democrats' polling leads
Axios·October 10, 2026·1 min read
Democrats lead Republicans 49.8%-41.9% in the RealClearPolling generic congressional ballot average, with Cook Political Report projecting a Democratic gain of nine to 19 House seats and a potential net gain of two to six Senate seats. Pollsters warn that a modest polling error could flip control of Congress, as polls underestimated Trump in 2016, 2020, and 2024.
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