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Multi-Outcome Prediction Markets and Why the Odds Don't Add Up to 100%

Crypto Daily·September 23, 2026·1 min read
Multi-Outcome Prediction Markets and Why the Odds Don't Add Up to 100%

Multi-outcome prediction markets split one question into several rows, and their prices rarely add up to 100%. This happens because each outcome is priced independently, reflecting separate probabilities. A worked Bitcoin example illustrates why the odds don't sum to 100%, highlighting market inefficiencies and pricing dynamics.

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