Bitcoin
Multi-Outcome Prediction Markets and Why the Odds Don't Add Up to 100%
Crypto Daily·September 23, 2026·1 min read
Multi-outcome prediction markets split one question into several rows, and their prices rarely add up to 100%. This happens because each outcome is priced independently, reflecting separate probabilities. A worked Bitcoin example illustrates why the odds don't sum to 100%, highlighting market inefficiencies and pricing dynamics.
Read at Crypto DailyDaily crypto arcade
Read the news, then play it.
Chainshorts turns crypto headlines into a daily game. Catch up in 60 words, then jump into daily lucky draws for a shot at the pot.
