Prediction Markets Favor Another Drop as Year-End Bitcoin Price Forecasts Sour

Polymarket traders give a 52% probability that Bitcoin falls to $70,000 before January, and just 9% for a $100,000 comeback. Kalshi users concentrate year-end expectations around $70,000 to $80,000. As of noon Eastern on Nov. 7, 2026, bitcoin's price traded lower, reflecting a bearish outlook for the year's end.