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Polymarket shows 22% chance of Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure by December 31

Crypto Briefing·September 20, 2026·1 min read
Polymarket shows 22% chance of Bab el-Mandeb Strait closure by December 31

Polymarket shows a 22% chance of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait closing by December 31. Such a closure could severely disrupt global trade and energy markets, escalating shipping costs and geopolitical tensions. Traders are pricing in geopolitical risk on the prediction market platform.

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