Politics
Final polls, models and markets see a "blue tsunami"
Axios·November 3, 2026·1 min read
Forecasters predict a Democratic 'blue tsunami' in Tuesday's midterms, with Nate Silver's model giving Democrats a 95% chance of winning the House and 80% for the Senate, projecting a 25-seat gain. Final NYT/Siena polls show Democrats leading in all seven Senate battleground states, including by 11 points in Michigan and seven in Texas, despite Trump carrying six of those states in 2024.
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