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IMF warning puts US recession bet back in focus as debt hits $39T

IMF warning puts US recession bet back in focus as debt hits $39T

The IMF warns that US recession odds may increase as $39 trillion in national debt erodes Treasury bonds’ safe-haven status. Traders on Polymarket now assign a 15% chance of recession in 2026. The fragile market remains quiet amid debt concerns, with investors weighing the risk of economic downturn amid rising US debt levels.

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