Bitcoin reset may be complete as onchain data points to cycle low
CoinDesk·60-word summary·1 min read
Onchain data suggests that Bitcoin's market reset may be complete, with the RHODL ratio indicating conditions similar to cycle corrections rather than late-stage tops. Long-term holders are regaining dominance, which could signal a potential shift in market dynamics and a more stable environment for Bitcoin moving forward.
Bitcoin's Coinbase Premium Gap turned negative, signaling potential bearishness. The indicator measures price differences between Coinbase and Binance, with recent decline suggesting US whales may be reducing their accumulation, impacting Bitcoin's short-term trend.
Bitcoin’s long-term holder supply increased from 5.26M to 8.32M BTC in three months, but SOPR remains below 1.0, indicating cautious market sentiment. Older coins are exiting at a loss, suggesting a cautious outlook despite expanding long-term holdings. The supply is becoming less liquid, but demand signals are mixed.
Deutsche Börse invested in Kraken, a major crypto exchange, signaling institutional support. Bitcoin experienced sell-offs from miners and Bhutan, which could impact market stability. These developments reflect ongoing institutional interest and market volatility in crypto.
Bitcoin approaches its critical 100-day EMA resistance in 2026, after a downtrend and correction. The price is forming a triangle pattern, signaling a potential major move. The direction depends on Bitcoin's response to this technical level, which could lead to a bullish or bearish trend.
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) proposes shifting its Bitcoin-related dividend payments from monthly to semi-monthly on its STRC preferred stock. The change aims to improve stability without altering the fixed 11.5% dividend rate or total obligations, potentially benefiting investors.