Bitcoin Recovery Still Looks Like A Bear Market Rally, Analyst Says
NewsBTC·60-word summary·1 min read
A CryptoQuant analyst states Bitcoin's recent recovery still resembles a bear market rally, based on on-chain metrics. The surge followed Bitcoin's stabilization after a low in early February. Data shows an increase in long-term holder (LTH) supply since late January, indicating growing HODLing conviction, but analysts warn the rally may still be part of a broader bear market trend.
Bitcoin's price dropped to $73,753 on April 19, erasing about $83 billion from the crypto market amid geopolitical tensions. The recent prediction now suggests an accumulation phase, with investors waiting for a potential rebound. The decline followed Iran's withdrawal from US peace talks, highlighting ongoing geopolitical risks impacting Bitcoin's price movement.
Ethereum's price recovery from $2,250 faces potential failure, with resistance at $2,360 and $2,385. Despite breaking above a bearish trend line, ETH remains below $2,340 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. If it stays below $2,360, a decline could occur, risking a reversal of recent gains. The key resistance levels are critical for future movement.
UK inflation is forecasted to rise in March amid ongoing Iran tensions, potentially impacting Bitcoin's role as an inflation hedge. The geopolitical conflict adds to market fragility, raising concerns about Bitcoin's stability during economic uncertainty. This development underscores how geopolitical events can influence cryptocurrency markets, especially in times of rising inflation.
Approximately $268 million in crypto liquidations occurred over the past 24 hours, mainly affecting short sellers. The market saw a modest rebound, driven more by the unwinding of bearish positions than new bullish momentum. Short liquidations accounted for 63.58% of the total, highlighting a temporary shift in market sentiment and increased near-term volatility, with Bitcoin and Ethereum leading the rebound.
Bitcoin is currently trading above $75,000 after recovering from a low of $73,637 on April 20, 2026. The price broke above a bearish trend line at $75,200 and is eyeing resistance at $76,500. Traders watch for a potential breakout above $77,250, which could signal further upward momentum toward new highs.
In Q1 2026, TRON facilitated over $2 trillion in USDT transfers, according to CoinDesk and Messari research. The data highlights significant growth in AI and institutional adoption within the crypto space. This milestone underscores TRON’s expanding role in large-scale stablecoin transactions, reflecting increased institutional interest and the broader adoption of blockchain technology in financial markets.